Bonds
Bonds Analysis & Opinion
10-2 Yield Curve Steepening Goes Unnoticed Amid Potential Economic Trouble Ahead
18.09.2024
10-2 Yield Curve Steepening Goes Unnoticed Amid Potential Economic Trouble Ahead
The 10yr-2yr yield curve has un-inverted; yet in the media? Crickets Slowly I toined [cue Brooklyn accent], step by step……
Era of High-Yields Is Ending – How to Prepare Your Portfolio For the Coming Shift
17.09.2024
Era of High-Yields Is Ending – How to Prepare Your Portfolio For the Coming Shift
The beginning of the end for the current run of peak yields looks set to start tomorrow (Wed., Sep. 18)…
Has the Bond Market Fully Priced in the Start of Policy Easing?
16.09.2024
Has the Bond Market Fully Priced in the Start of Policy Easing?
The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates this week. The question is whether the bond market has fully…
Is Yield Curve Still a Reliable Recession Indicator?
13.09.2024
Is Yield Curve Still a Reliable Recession Indicator?
The US yield curve is considered to be a good leading indicator of US recession, with an inversion of the…
10-Year US Treasury Yield: Unusually High Premium Is Finally Starting to Normalize
12.09.2024
10-Year US Treasury Yield: Unusually High Premium Is Finally Starting to Normalize
The premium for the US 10-year Treasury yield continued to fall in August relative to the “fair value” estimate based…
Bonds: 2019’s Easing Cycle Set Stage for a Rally – 2024 to Follow a Similar Path?
12.09.2024
Bonds: 2019’s Easing Cycle Set Stage for a Rally – 2024 to Follow a Similar Path?
2019 was the last year investors saw what could be called a “normal” easing cycle driven by macroeconomic growth concerns…
The Best Bonds to Buy for a Recession
11.09.2024
The Best Bonds to Buy for a Recession
One year ago, I wrote to you that it was time to buy bonds again. The “index huggers” who only…
Beware of These 4 Yield Curve Patterns as Fast Un-Inversion Takes Hold
28.08.2024
Beware of These 4 Yield Curve Patterns as Fast Un-Inversion Takes Hold
The level of U.S. Treasury yields and the changing shape of the Treasury yield curve provide investors with critical feedback…
10-Year Yield to Head Much Lower as Fed Gears Up for Cutting Rates in September
28.08.2024
10-Year Yield to Head Much Lower as Fed Gears Up for Cutting Rates in September
The spread between the US 10-year Treasury yield vs. a ‘fair value’ estimate calculated by CapitalSpectator.com narrowed to a three-month…
Bond Market Momentum Firmly Bullish With All Eyes on Powell’s Jackson Hole Address
22.08.2024
Bond Market Momentum Firmly Bullish With All Eyes on Powell’s Jackson Hole Address
Fixed income as an asset class is looking bullish as Fed Chairman Powell prepares to give a widely anticipated speech…