Bitcoin: Watch for a Break Above This Key Barrier to Confirm a Renewed Uptrend
- Bitcoin has rebounded from a key support zone.
- While the crypto is attempting to regain an uptrend, risks remain.
- In this piece, we’ll discuss the key levels it needs to breach to get back into an uptrend.
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Bitcoin has experienced a roller-coaster ride in recent days, with prices swinging wildly almost daily. The cryptocurrency’s downward trajectory reflects a broader risk-off sentiment that has swept financial markets.
While Bitcoin briefly rebounded yesterday, the $50,000 level remains a critical support level. However, to believe that this is a new uptrend, bulls will need to watch for a break above a critical resistance level.
The absence of major US economic data releases in the second half of the week may lead to temporary calm. However, the overall market sentiment remains cautious, and further volatility is expected in the near term.
What’s Behind the Recent Selloff?
Recent declines in Bitcoin stem from heightened recession risks in the U.S., following disappointing labor market data and escalating conflict in the Middle East. Investors have reacted strongly, with trading volumes surging to $1.14 billion yesterday, compared to the recent average of $30 million. This surge in activity primarily involved the liquidation of long positions, totaling $310.26 million earlier in the week.
The high volatility in Bitcoin, compounded by the increasing popularity of Bitcoin ETFs reflecting the spot price, has made the market particularly sensitive. Should investor sentiment shift, they could quickly re-enter the market by rebuilding long positions.
Political factors also influence the digital currency market. Following an assassination attempt on Donald Trump and his controversial statements about potentially including Bitcoin in U.S. strategic reserves, political dynamics have shifted. The Democratic side saw a change with Kamala Harris replacing Joe Biden as the presidential candidate, bringing poll results closer and making it difficult to identify a clear favorite until the election.
Bitcoin Technical View: Uptrend Resumption or Just a Dead Cat Bounce?
Bitcoin prices rebounded from a critical support level near $50,000, and the recovery is ongoing. However, buyers face their first challenge at the $64,000 mark. Breaking this barrier would effectively negate the recent downward trend.
If this rebound continues, the next targets for the bulls are $70,000 and $73,000. Conversely, if Bitcoin falls below $50,000 and approaches this year’s lows, further declines remain a possibility.
What’s Next for Ethereum?
Ethereum shows a comparable short-term scenario. Bears have stalled around the $2,200 support level.
For Ethereum, the minimum target for the current rebound is the resistance near $2,900. A successful test of this level will determine if buyers can drive a return to an uptrend. If Ethereum breaks below $2,200, it could open the door to levels below $2,000.
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Disclaimer: This article is written for informational purposes only; it does not constitute a solicitation, offer, advice, counsel or recommendation to invest as such it is not intended to incentivize the purchase of assets in any way. I would like to remind you that any type of asset, is evaluated from multiple perspectives and is highly risky and therefore, any investment decision and the associated risk remains with the investor.